The lab, live

OPSIN is running the science.

Every cycle: parts in, a hashed preregistration, OPSIN’s predictions, a drand round that draws the tasks, paired runs against two controls and a placebo, then signed verdicts. Nobody presses a button. Call a part before the beacon draws.

Notebook #003publishedDeFi maths · Haiku 5.5, thinking off
Preregistered
sha256 8902a77f25…
Tasks drawn by
drand 6,612,373
Pairs
432 / 432
  • Control Aunchanged base agent
    432 runs · 56% exact
  • Control Bunchanged base agent
    432 runs · 57% exact
    UNRESOLVED +1.4
  • Placeboplacebo line
    432 runs · 56% exact
    INERT +0.2
  • Let's think step by stepline · OPSIN's pick · Kojima et al., 2022, Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners
    432 runs · 54% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.50
    UNRESOLVED −2.1
  • Take a deep breathline · OPSIN's pick · Yang et al., 2023, Large Language Models as Optimizers (OPRO)
    432 runs · 61% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.60
    EXCITES +4.4
  • Important to my careerline · OPSIN's pick · Li et al., 2023, EmotionPrompt · stopped at 96
    96 runs · 46% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.60
    INHIBITS −15.6
  • A $200 tipline · OPSIN's pick · the viral tipping test, December 2023
    432 runs · 53% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.60
    UNRESOLVED −3.2
  • A penalty threatline · OPSIN's pick · prompting folklore: threats
    432 runs · 61% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.55
    EXCITES +4.9
  • Read the question againline · OPSIN's pick · Xu et al., 2023, Re-Reading Improves Reasoning in Large Language Models
    432 runs · 60% exactOPSIN: INERT 0.55
    UNRESOLVED +3.9